ilmscore | Housing Market Predictions
56.4%
Accuracy

Recent Predictions

Total: 309
Correct: 22
Incorrect: 17
Pending: 270
Unrated: 0
Prediction
Author
Predicted at
Status
Video
President Trump plans to implement measures to prevent institutional investors, such as Blackstone, from purchasing single-family homes.
"President Trump recently in the last few days posted on Truth Social that he wants to take steps to ..."
Jan 11, 2026
Pending
President Trump wants Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac to purchase $200 billion in mortgage bonds to lower mortgage rates and stimulate housing purchases.
"President Trump announced that he is demanding Fanny May and Freddy Mack to now start buying mortgag..."
Jan 10, 2026
Incorrect
The guest and her roommate have not paid rent for multiple months due to issues with their apartment building, including a lack of amenities and security concerns like a car break-in.
"Yeah. No, I mean definitely like... We So, we we moved in in August. I paid first month and then we ..."
Jan 9, 2026
Pending
The guest expresses a paradoxical affection for living in Los Angeles despite acknowledging the prevalent issues of homelessness and drug use, suggesting a complex relationship with the city.
"I love LA. Oh yeah, that sounded great. I love crackheads and homeless people."
Jan 9, 2026
Pending
The guest is withholding rent payments to her landlord due to unmet amenity promises, resulting in a reduced amount owed. This suggests a potential conflict with property management and a precarious housing situation.
"The guest is withholding rent payments to her landlord due to unmet amenity promises, resulting in a..."
Jan 9, 2026
Pending
The guest and her roommate have not paid rent for multiple months due to issues with their apartment building, including a lack of amenities and security concerns like a car break-in.
"The guest and her roommate have not paid rent for multiple months due to issues with their apartment..."
Jan 9, 2026
Pending
The guest moved back in with her mother after her mother faced eviction, highlighting a shared housing instability within the family.
"The guest moved back in with her mother after her mother faced eviction, highlighting a shared housi..."
Jan 9, 2026
Correct
The guest expresses a paradoxical affection for living in Los Angeles despite acknowledging the prevalent issues of homelessness and drug use, suggesting a complex relationship with the city.
"The guest expresses a paradoxical affection for living in Los Angeles despite acknowledging the prev..."
Jan 9, 2026
Pending
The guest moved back in with her mother after her mother faced eviction, highlighting a shared housing instability within the family.
"My mom was getting evicted, so I moved back in with her um because we were trying to move."
Jan 9, 2026
Correct
The guest is withholding rent payments to her landlord due to unmet amenity promises, resulting in a reduced amount owed. This suggests a potential conflict with property management and a precarious housing situation.
"No, I told them. I was like, I'm not paying until you guys get me my amenities. And they were like, ..."
Jan 9, 2026
Pending
Past initiatives similar to banning institutional investors from buying single-family homes have consistently failed.
"initiatives like this have been tried consistently in the past and had failed."
Jan 8, 2026
Pending
Tax incentives, such as abatements, should be provided to builders who bring jobs, resources, and housing to areas in need, as cities cannot build housing themselves.
"we have to give more tax incentives to builders. Look, the city will never and cannot build their ow..."
Jan 8, 2026
Pending
Increasing the mortgage interest tax deduction to $1.5 million from $750,000 would encourage more people to move, thus unlocking starter home inventory.
"we should really allow people to write off the first $1.5 million of their mortgage interest up from..."
Jan 8, 2026
Pending
Austin, Texas saw a 20% decrease in housing prices after removing parking requirements, making more housing available.
"And modular housing without parking requirements solves a lot of problems. Like just take a look at ..."
Jan 8, 2026
Incorrect
Institutional bans on rental properties in Atlanta since 2022 have not increased home prices or decreased rents.
"And third, as unpopular as this is to say, measures like this have actually been tried in the past a..."
Jan 8, 2026
Incorrect
Modular housing should be reconsidered as a solution for expensive land in desirable areas.
"Six, I also think modular housing needs to make a comeback. I just think we have to come to the real..."
Jan 8, 2026
Pending
Measures aimed at restricting institutional investors in the housing market have backfired in the past.
"As unpopular as this is to say, measures like this have actually been tried in the past and have com..."
Jan 8, 2026
Pending
Canada's ban on foreign investors and corporations buying single-family homes had no impact on affordability as foreign buyers were a small percentage of the market.
"And in the end, this did nothing to improve home affordability because foreign buyers only made up 2..."
Jan 8, 2026
Incorrect
Banning institutional investors from buying single-family homes could lead to increased home prices and reduced supply, negatively impacting those it aims to help.
"this could actually wind up increasing home prices. It could reduce supply even further and it could..."
Jan 8, 2026
Pending
Modular housing, especially without parking requirements, should be revived as a solution to expensive land costs in desirable areas.
"I also think modular housing needs to make a comeback. I just think we have to come to the realizati..."
Jan 8, 2026
Pending
Banning institutional investors from buying single-family homes will likely increase rental prices due to reduced inventory and may increase home prices due to decreased incentives for bulk building, without improving affordability.
"Rental prices are going to go up because there's less rental inventory. Home prices might also begin..."
Jan 8, 2026
Pending
Denmark and New Zealand's attempts to limit home ownership had no effect on prices, leading them to try and reattract foreign capital by 2023.
"The same also applies to Denmark and New Zealand, who tried to limit home ownership. In both of thos..."
Jan 8, 2026
Incorrect
Increasing the capital gains exclusion to $1 million for married couples and adjusting it annually for CPI would incentivize more sellers to list their homes.
"we should really increase the capital gains exclusion to a million dollars for married couples filin..."
Jan 8, 2026
Pending
Austin, Texas saw a 20% decrease in housing prices after removing parking requirements, indicating an increase in available housing.
"Austin, Texas. They got rid of the parking requirements and now their housing has fallen by 20% beca..."
Jan 8, 2026
Incorrect
Streamlining permits, improving zoning, and reducing red tape are necessary to improve home affordability.
"we got to streamline permits, improve zoning, and reduce the red tape."
Jan 8, 2026
Pending
Reducing excessive fees associated with building permits is recommended, citing an example of a $1,000 fee for reinstalling a toilet.
"we also have to reduce the successive fees. It shouldn't have to cost $1,000 to reinstall a toilet w..."
Jan 8, 2026
Pending
A similar housing policy in the Netherlands restricted supply, increased prices, and resulted in new homeowners being wealthier than the renters they replaced.
"In the Netherlands, this was also tried, but it was found to restrict supply, spike prices, and beli..."
Jan 8, 2026
Pending
Allowing mortgage porting, where individuals can transfer their existing mortgage when trading up to a new home, would unlock lower-priced inventory.
"we should really allow mortgage porting. This way, you could take your existing mortgage with you to..."
Jan 8, 2026
Pending
Donald Trump plans to call on Congress to codify a ban on institutional investors buying single-family homes.
"And I will be calling on Congress to codify it."
Jan 8, 2026
Pending
A decrease in mortgage rates is predicted to increase demand for housing, potentially driving up home prices.
"In 12 months, what is going to happen? Well, chances are number one, people are going to want to buy..."
Dec 27, 2025
Correct
A decrease in mortgage rates to around 4% could incentivize more home purchases, potentially increasing housing prices.
"If mortgage rates were to fall from 6 6 1/2% where they are today, let's just say 4%. In 12 months, ..."
Dec 27, 2025
Correct
From 2019 to the present (likely 2025/2026), home prices have increased by 60%, monthly mortgage payments by 100%, while average incomes have only risen by less than 25%.
"Home prices are up 60%. Monthly mortgage payment up 100%. But average incomes in the United States h..."
Dec 22, 2025
Incorrect
The Federal Reserve Bank has stated they cannot fix the current housing market problems.
"And now the Fed is also saying that we don't think that we can fix the problem."
Dec 22, 2025
Correct
Significant changes and volatility are anticipated in the housing market during 2026.
"And we can expect more shakeups coming in 2026."
Dec 22, 2025
Correct
The Trump administration is actively encouraging and pressuring builders to increase housing construction.
"On the construction side, we are seeing more construction today than previously, but we're seeing mo..."
Dec 22, 2025
Correct
The speaker highlights a significant difference between current rent for a 4-bedroom property ($650) and market rates (over $1000) after 7-8 years of minimal rent increases.
"the tenant there, he's been in there for seven or eight years. I think we've raised rent on him in 7..."
Dec 13, 2025
Correct
Predicted the housing market to remain a problem.
"So housing is going to be you know a problem"
Dec 10, 2025
Pending
Predicted that home sales volume will increase as interest rates and new home prices decline.
"this number will go up as people uh are more and more people are able to move."
Dec 5, 2025
Pending
Predicted that housing affordability will increase significantly and housing will be the biggest surprise in the next year.
"we believe that affordability will increase significantly during the next year. Um, and in fact, we ..."
Dec 5, 2025
Pending
Predicted that the housing sector could surprise positively next year if a virtuous cycle begins.
"housing is a sector that could really surprise on the high side of expectations if we get this virtu..."
Dec 5, 2025
Pending
Predicted that housing will never look or cost the same as it did in the 1950s.
"we have to come to the reality that housing is never going to look the same or cost the same as it d..."
Dec 3, 2025
Pending
Foreclosures are currently increasing in the US due to insufficient homeowner equity and unaffordable monthly payments.
"And that's what we're already starting to see happen right now in the United States as foreclosures ..."
Nov 26, 2025
Correct
Home ownership in the US fell in September 2025, marking the first such decline in approximately ten years.
"In September 2025, we got the news that home ownership in the United States is falling for the first..."
Nov 26, 2025
Incorrect
The monthly mortgage payment for a house in 2025 is approximately $2,500, a 100% increase compared to 2020.
"So, if you got the same 30-year mortgage of 20% down here, now your monthly mortgage payment is goin..."
Nov 26, 2025
Incorrect
The price of a specific house increased by 40% from 2020 to 2025, reaching $500,000.
"By 2025, things changed quite a bit. If you wanted to buy that exact same house in 2025, now it's go..."
Nov 26, 2025
Pending
A drop in mortgage rates to 4% would likely lead to an increase in buyer demand, potentially causing bidding wars and driving up housing prices due to a lack of supply.
"If mortgage rates fell to 4% tomorrow, what do you think is going to happen? Probably a lot of peopl..."
Nov 26, 2025
Correct
US housing ownership started declining in 2025.
"For the first time in a decade, housing ownership in the United States officially began falling in 2..."
Nov 26, 2025
Incorrect
A 10% drop in home values could lead to widespread negative equity and a subsequent rise in foreclosures in the US.
"If home values were to go down by just 10%... Well, that would mean that a lot of people now are sud..."
Nov 26, 2025
Incorrect
The housing situation is expected to worsen, and purchasing a home now is advised.
"So, listen, I'm telling you, if you can buy a home now, I would buy a home. Like, I'm telling you, t..."
Oct 27, 2025
Correct
Predicted that in many cities, it will take 25 to 30 years for buying a home to break even with renting.
"it could be 25 to 30 years just before buying a home breaks even to that of renting."
Oct 5, 2025
Pending